Research Analyst - Karan Sanwal (karan.sanwal@niveshaay.com)
Why does the industry look interesting to us?
India has been importing huge quantities of electronic products since decades. In fact, import of electronic products accounts for the second highest import bill. Multiple reasons like lack of infrastructure, technical know-how, cost competitiveness, etc., were responsible for low domestic manufacturing. However, there has been a paradigm shift where decades of hardship faced by electronic manufacturing companies has finally been converted to significant opportunities. Lots of factors have converged in the recent past that we are now standing at an inflection point. In modern-day India, when opportunity knocks the door, we grab it with both hands. What’s even more interesting is that if any company needs to achieve scale, they would want the entire electronics manufacturing ecosystem to develop. This would lead to simultaneous growth of multiple players, easy availability of advanced electronic products and a lower import bill. Win-win for everyone!
ESDM involves a process of conceptualization, design, prototyping, manufacturing, testing, and providing after-market services for electronic systems and components. The Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEMs) around the world are increasingly outsourcing their electronic product manufacturing to the ESDM players to focus on their core business of serving the end-user.
The ESDM company, which has a presence in all parts of the value chain, enjoys high margins due to higher operating leverage, economies of scale, and preference over competitors. The value chain of an ESDM industry can be divided as follows:
The global ESDM industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.4% from CY21 to CY26E as opposed to 3.4% CAGR recorded from CY17 to CY21.
Even though the global ESDM market is expected to grow at a low single digit CAGR, India is going to outperform the market. The Indian ESDM industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of 32.5% from FY22 to FY27 as opposed to 22.2% CAGR recorded from FY17 to FY22.
The advancement in technology and integration with artificial intelligence, machine learning, internet of things, etc., have increased the electronic content in products across various sectors. Some sectors like Aerospace & Defence, medical devices, etc., have high margins but could encounter problems related to higher gestation period and customer delays which puts pressure on working capital management. So, there are different models applicable for different sectors which are highlighted as below:
High Volume Low Margin (HVLM) model: Companies manufacturing highly automated electronics, mobile phones, or consumer electronics would be using the HVLM model. Companies try to grow volume with limited product range. Overstocking of inventory could be a problem.
Low Volume High Margins (LVHM) model: Companies manufacturing using the LVHM model would have low production volume with a wide product range. They must be able to quickly switch between different product types to accommodate customer demand. E.g., Clean Energy, Medical/ Healthcare, Aerospace & Defence, etc., have customized products with higher margins.
Low Volume Low Margins (LVLM) model: It involves companies with low production volumes and limited product mix. This could be beneficial in niche markets with high customization like Automobiles. It could also be used for prototype development
High Volume High Margin (HVHM) model: This model is prevalent in industries where products are customized and a wide variety of products are needed to meet customer demand. Effective inventory management is essential to manage a wide variety of products while avoiding stock-outs or overstocking. E.g., Internet of Things.
The ESDM market can be divided based on the process that starts from an idea and transitions through conceptualization of that idea along with mass scale manufacturing and after sales services.
It focuses on conceptualization of an idea based on customer requirements. Market research may also be conducted to understand the requirements of the end-users. Indian companies have started providing these services to penetrate the value chain.
A proof of concept is created to test the functionality of the product. A prototype is manufactured before mass-production. Changes could be easily made while products are at prototype stage to avoid major future challenges.
PCB is the core product in any electronic item. It has copper lines which electrically link connectors and components to each other. The electronic components are attached with either Surface Mount Technology (SMT) or Through-Hole Mounting (THM) which is known as PCBA. Due to inadequate domestic manufacturing of PCB, 80-90% are imported and only PCB Assembly is done in India. The bare PCB contributes to around 8-10% in the overall product cost in the majority of the industry. Gradually, the ESDM players are expected to manufacture bare PCB in-house to have more control over the process (better working capital management) and better margins through backward integration.
The board on the left side is the bare PCB. Various automated and manual processes are done to solder components on it based on the product requirements. Some of the domestic manufacturers of bare PCB include Shogini Technoarts Pvt. Ltd., AT&S India Pvt. Ltd., Ascent Circuits Pvt. Ltd, Epitome Components, etc.
It is a higher value-added product which constitutes a PCB in a small enclosure. An ESDM company needs to have a robust manufacturing infrastructure or an outsourcing vendor for components like Wire & Harness, Magnetics, Sheet Metals & Plastics Molding, and other electromechanical components that go in a box build. Indian companies are receiving more box builds orders which highlights the increasing vertical integration. This helps in better margins and long-term relationships with clients.
The Box builds are part of a sub-system. These subsystems are combined to form a system to operate it as a single unit. This process of combining the sub-system into a single system is known as system integration. For e.g., A car contains different sub-system for braking, engine, fuel management, etc.
The electronic products are tested at every stage i.e., from prototyping to dispatching to ensure that problems are not encountered by the end-user. Some sectors like aerospace, defence, railways, etc. have higher quality requirements leading to additional tests being conducted. Companies having better testing infrastructure are preferred by OEM.
After sales services like repair, rework, and maintenance are provided so that the product is functioning efficiently. It is also done to extend the life of the component. In high value items used in railways, aerospace, defence, etc., these services are of major importance as the cost of replacements are high.
The import of electronic goods accounts for the second highest import bill after oil. According to an industry report, the Indian ESDM market, which contributed to 2.2% of the global market in CY2021, is expected to contribute around 7% in CY2026.
The global ESDM market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.40% over CY2021-CY2026. The major players in the global market are expected to grow at following CAGR:
The substantial increase in India’s share is expected to come with contribution from multiple factors.
According to the industry report, all sectors in the Indian ESDM market are expected to outperform the sectoral growth in the global ESDM industry by a significant margin.
For any company, it is difficult to cater to all segments or sectors as the machinery, volume, and complexity of the products are different. So, companies develop a niche to focus on particular segments/industries. They make efforts to establish long term relationships with clients through timely execution of orders. The ultimate goal is to increase the scale of business, which helps in improving margins, revenue contribution, sourcing ability and negotiations.
Companies in the industry can be compared based on the sectors they serve, order book position, working capital management, timely execution, and profitability.
The below table highlights the industry players and the respective sector they serve:
The ESDM industry has significant demand for multiple players to co-exist. The order book position of various companies and market forecasts highlights the upward trajectory. Though the industry is poised for significant growth, following parameters should be monitored:
Disclaimer:
Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing.
Registration granted by SEBI, membership of BASL and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors.
The securities quoted are for illustration only and are not recommendatory.
Disclaimers and Disclosures
SEBI Registration No. :INH000017338, IN/AIF3/24-25/1571, IN/AIF2/24-25/1607 | BASL Membership ID: 6276
Investment in Securities Market are subject to market risks. Read all related documents carefully before investing. The securities quoted are for illustration only and are not recommendatory. Registration granted by SEBI, membership of a SEBI recognized supervisory body (if any) and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors.